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Friday, February 17, 2017

Solgold - Hole 19

DISCLOSURE: I own shares in SolGold

We got partial assays from hole 19 at Alpala, let us see what that it shows and does to the official bad (tm) resource calculations.

Summary

  • My predictions were very average
  • My officially bad resources have gone up
    • Copper 15% to 320Mt @ 0.54% Cu or 6.4Blbs contained copper
    • Gold 10% to 299Mt @ 0.56 g/t Au or 5.3Moz Au


In an earlier post I made some predictions about future drill results, for hole 19 they were:
  • 0.5% Cu and 0.6 g/t Au from 325.6 to 1161.5m
    • including ~0.6-0.8% Cu and ~1 g/t Au from 850 to 1161.5m
    • 325.6 to 850 will run around 0.4% Cu and 0.35 g/t Au
What was reported was:



And this is what it looks like in technicolor

Zoomed in - Cu (right) - green zone starts at 572m depth
So they actually hit economic mineralization from 572m depth. I'm ignoring the stuff higher up as it is only grading 0.18% Cu and 0.09 g/t Au, which isn't what you would call well mineralized! We can also see that and even though the assays at depth are pending, the hole seems leave mineralization at 1374m.

However, you can clearly see the very high grade zones (>1% Cu and >1g/t Au) hit in adjacent holes doesn't seem to occur in hole 19. We have 2 options here:

  1. The zone does exist in hole 19, but is much narrower and hasn't been separated in the summary assay table
  2. The very high grade mineralization is small, and restricted to specific zones.

So my prediction was wrong, which sucks, and mineralization appears to be ~200m deeper than originally thought, but i did do a better job at guessing estimating (that sounds more professional) the  higher grade zone - I got the start depth correct, but it is ~200m thicker than I thought. I'm also going to give myself some marks for getting the copper grades correct, but I over estimated the gold content.

I'm going to give myself a 4/10. Must try harder....

So what does it do to the resources? Here are the updated numbers.

Copper



Gold



Another 10-15% increase in contained copper and gold, and it seems that we have squeezed over the magical 5 Moz contained gold, which is very nice.

 For this I've used the following parameters:
  • Specific Gravity = 2.7
  • A NW-SE trend on mineralization - this appears to be similar to that being used by SolGold in their presentation.
  • 200m search (i.e. Leapfrog connects intervals that are within 200m from one another)
    • this is comfortable for an 'inferred' resource.
You can download the leapfrog model and spreadsheet from here (link)

Exploration upside

I've decided to have a closer look at the data to see what upside there is at Alpala. 

red dashed line = my estimate to the limits of mineralization - think of it as a >0.5% CuEq grade shell

We can see that hole 13-003 was drilled over the main mineralized zone, and hole 19 is extending this zone (albeit in small systematic steps) to the SE. We can also see that the grade drops off to depth. This is suggesting the holes are entering the high temperature core of the system, where it is too hot to precipitate copper minerals.

Here is an annotated version of figure 4 that accompanied the latest PR (link).

cyan - where I think the holes being drilled will go; green - holes I would like to see SolGold drill
As Solgold are drilling some very deep drill-holes, we can see that they are not following the planned direction (this is called deviation and is caused by a number of factors - long holes deviate more than short holes). What it seems to show that the 2 holes being drilled at the moment (20, and 21) won't hit their planned targets and:

  • Hole 20 - will probably hit the high grade zones intercepted by holes 08, 14, and 18 - it will give good numbers but not significantly change the size of the deposit
  • Hole 21 - that will intersect the same zone hit by hole 19, just 30-50m south of it.
I've drawn a number of green lines on the figure above, these are hypothetical holes that I would like to see drilled (but then again, drawing lines on a map in an air-conditioned office is easy), but it would test some areas where the mineralization is open (especially the zones hit by hole 07 and 17), and change Alpala from a large into a very large deposit. 







8 comments:

  1. Thanks for the excellent analysis as usual. Just wondering if you think that Cornerstone, who holds the other 15% of Cascabel and is carried through the Feasibility Study, is overvalued or undervalued in relation to Solgold.

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    Replies
    1. For me, I trade with SolGold directly as I get all of the upside, cornerstone does represent a cheaper way of getting involved in the project, but when the project is acquired by a major, how will the shareholders of cornerstone benefit? There will be the share price bump (but it will probably be more muted than in solgold) and probably Cornerstone will end up with a decent chunk of cash or shares, but how will that benefit the shareholders?

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  2. great post. I don't own this stock and was trying to buy it but trades in OTC and the volume is too low. Anyway always a great read. thanks

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  3. Sorry off the topic. Is it possible you can do a analysis of BONXF (bonterra resources) drill results? Thanks a lot.

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  4. BonTerra BTR.v - Co is all moneyed up and I'll ganderize it tomorrow. http://pennystockjournal.blogspot.ca/

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  5. Actually Co is REALLY moneyed up and turned a $6m pp into a $ 15m one. THATS impressive and recent weakness to levels not seen since nifty assays is a good thing as deal gets cleaned out. Veeeery interesting says I. Film at 11:00

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  6. I looked at the London stock exchange and bot there - symbol SOLG.
    Things to consider.....higher transaction commissions than I used to and currency exchange premium.
    Neither is a big deal with me as I consider the investment worthwhile.

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  7. Can you infer anything useful about the increasing extent of Alpala from the RNS on 4 April? Are you waiting for the assays later this month?

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