Thursday, May 5, 2016

Lies, damn lies and metallurgical recoveries

We’ve all read a lot of press releases stating that a company has received metallurgical results showing great recoveries from their project.

Compare the grades of the metallurgical samples against the average grade of the deposit.
  • Typically: high grade material = higher recoveries.
  • Met samples are different (i.e. do not represent) from majority of the ore.

Companies will often just send high grade material for metallurgical testing, which will have different mineralisation styles, ore types and minerals causing it to have different metallurgical characteristics and recoveries when compared to the 'average ore' in a deposit

Example 1: Azure Minerals – Mesa de Plata Project, México.
Recently announced 70% recovery of silver by leaching from a disseminated silver deposit (link).
Diging into the PR we can see that they submitted 2 samples for testing:
  1. A master composite at 138 g/t Ag.
  2. A high grade composite: at 670 g/t Ag ( ~5 times more)

We can also see that the Master composite contains significant Arsenic (As). Will it go into the concentrate? This is important as many smelters will charge penalties on, or even not accept, concentrates containing significant amounts of arsenic.

Recoveries:
  • Master: Leaching = 50%, Flotation = 51-55%: 
  •  High grade: Leaching = 70%; Flotation = 67-72%
There is ~20% difference in recoveries between the high grade and master composites.
  • Using bad maths: 
    • Average deposit grade = 138 g/t Ag
    • Using 51-55% recovery - only 69-76 g/t Ag is recovered, the rest is lost.
    • @ $17/oz Ag the recoverable silver value at Mesa de Plata is $37.7-41.4/tonne 
Azure did finish the PR with a statement that they are looking to conduct additional metallurgical testing, this is a good clue as metallurgical testing costs money, so most (if not all) exploration companies will do 1 or 2 to make sure that the gold/silver/copper etc. can be recovered. If they have to do more work, it means that there are issues (i.e. the recoveries are crap).

But here are some questions:
  • At current metal prices, will Mesa de Plata the deposit be economic with these recoveries?
  • Does the Arsenic go into the Silver concentrates?
I like the fact that Azure have included an average grade composite, it shows that they are thinking about the possibility to develop of Mesa de Plata in the future and are conducting early metallurgical testing to make sure that the silver is recoverable rather than just focusing on drilling as big a resource as possible.


Example 2: Golden Mineral – El Quezar, Argentina
From their 43-101 on El Quevar, they have the following Resources.


A reasonable resources, but we can see that they have 2 different ore types (oxide and sulphide) and are looking to mine the deposit by open pit (bulk mining) and underground (selective) mining. They have conducted some metallurgical testing, and here is some info on the sample submitted:

All of the composite samples contain considerably more silver (300-650 g/t Ag) than the average grade of the deposit (140-150 g/t).

The recoveries look fine, flotation gives between 60-90% recovery and leaching a bit less, but it raises the following questions:
  • What is the recovery for average ore from El Quevar
  • How does recoveries differ from the oxide and sulphide mineralisation?
  • What is the transition zone from the oxide into to the sulphide resources?
    • is it a sharp or do you have a significant transitional zone where the metallurgy of the ore is more complicated (and recovery can be significantly lower)..
    • what is the recovery in this transitional zone?
 

When I see reports like these, it sometimes appears that companies go out of their way to specifically test high grade ore, that only represents a very small fraction of the deposit.
I can understand the desire to portray your project as being as good as possible, and I have no issues with companies testing high grade ore as it will be different from the majority of the ore in a deposit,  but why do many companies insist on ONLY testing high grade material?
If you don’t test the modal/average ore, you won’t know about any metallurgical/recovery issues that could impact >75% of the project’s resources.

I’ll ask you this question – how many mines announce that production was lower than expected due to poor metallurgical recoveries?

Monday, May 2, 2016

My methodologies - part 1 - data sources



My methodology


 For most (if not all) of these projects I will not have had the chance to visit them, look at the drill-core, the surface geology or speak with the geologists associated with them. Essentially, I have access to exactly the same information that you do.

So, I wanted to write a series of posts explaining my data sources and methodologies I use to extract and interpret data from the various projects and prospects that will form the base for the posts on this blog.



Data sources


All of the data I use for my interpretations and to create 3D views for a project are obtained from public sources:
  • Drill-hole data: derived from technical reports, presentations and press releases.
  • Satellite images: sourced from Google Earth
  • The USGS public global topography data through their Earth Explorer website (link)
  • Surface data (e.g. geology maps, geophysics and geochemistry): technical reports etc.

     The geological and Ordnance surveys of many countries provide a large amount of free to download geography and geology data (e.g. geology maps, topo maps, stream sediment data etc.).

I’ll try to include a full list of data sources with my posts and any useful links, which I’ll add to the useful lists.

Drill-hole data

To be plot the drill-holes and see the drilling data in 3D you need 3 pieces of information:

  • Hole location - the Easting (x), Northing (y) and elevation (z) of where the hole was drilled from.
    • Generally this information is included in technical reports, but for new drill-holes I often have to  digitize the hole locations from plan maps included in press releases.
    • The elevation data is sometimes not included, but I can use the topo surface to create a relatively accurate elevation for each drill-hole.
  • The direction the hole was drilled (hole orientation)
    • This information is rarely included with press releases
    • I have to manually measure the hole orientations from plan maps in press releases.
  • The angle at which the hole was drilled (the angle of Dip)  
    • This information is generally not included in press releases. Occasionally this data is included in a "start of drilling" PR.
    • Typically this data is obtained from cross sections and plan maps that accompany PRs.
  • Hole length (the hole depth, or Target Depth).
    • Rarely included in press releases
    • I can measure a hole length from a cross section, or if I can’t do this, I’ll simple take the deepest assay interval and extend the hole 50m beyond it.

Data accuracy: Any data I have to digitize/measure is generally of medium quality and will have an error (depending on the map scale and quality of the images I work with) of between 5-20m.